President Trump on Wednesday reversed his position on cutting payroll taxes to spur economic growth, telling reporters on the White House lawn that "we don't need it."
The reversal comes after days of mixed messages from the administration. The White House had first denied that it was considering a cut to payroll taxes since the economy, top officials claimed, was sound. However, on Tuesday, Trump said "payroll tax is something that we think about and a lot of people would like to see that."
In another about-face on Wednesday, Trump announced that he is "not looking at a tax cut now." The remarks follow a growing number of economists who have publicly warned that a recession in the U.S. is on the horizon.
"I don't think [Trump] is particularly concerned if what he says one day disagrees with what his advisors said the day before," said Brian Brenberg, the chair of the Program in Business and Finance at The King's College. "It's classic message testing by the president" to see how the media and markets react.
Recession concerns largely emerged last week after the U.S. Treasury's yield curve inverted; in other words, short-term investments in government bonds are now expected to pay more than long-term ones. The inversion — the first since the economic collapse of 2007-2008 — sent the markets plummeting.
A survey released this week by the National Association for Business Economics also found that 74 percent of U.S. economists believe the country will go into a recession by 2021.
"We don't need [a payroll tax cut]. We have a strong economy," Trump said Wednesday.
Payroll taxes, which apply to both employers and employees, are ubiquitous in the U.S. economy and fund major federal programs like social security and medicare. The taxes were lowered as part of the economic stimulus package following the Great Recession a decade ago, and the cut was extended by President Obama in 2012. Republicans initially opposed the cut at the time, citing concern over the federal deficit.
Yet today, many economists caution against cutting payroll taxes given the country's historically low unemployment, the current strain on social security spending, and the government's growing deficit, which has ballooned under Trump following policies like the 2017 tax cuts.
"Payroll taxes are a significant source of government revenue, and payroll tax cuts have been found to have little to no impact on long-term economic growth," the Tax Foundation said on Twitter.
On Wednesday, moreover, the Congressional Budget Office said that the federal budget deficit is accelerating faster than expected. The agency updated its deficit forecast to $960 billion in 2019 and over $1 trillion in 2020.
Cutting payroll taxes, experts say, will also not address the core concerns of investors: tariffs and trade.
"Most investors are unified in believing the only thing that's really going to meaningfully change the conversation around recession is doing something on trade," Brenberg said, noting that Trump's remarks on Tuesday did little to boost the markets.
Adam Michel, a tax policy analyst at the conservative Heritage Foundation, said that "high tariffs and trade uncertainty" were the main impediments to economic progress. "If the administration wants to boost the economy, they should start there," he said.
The streaming giant Netflix posted its latest earnings from its fourth quarter after the close on Thursday. The company's stock plummeted shortly after the company warned that its rate of subscription additions are slowing down. Senior Reporter at MarketWatch Jon Swartz, joined Cheddar to discuss more.
Revenue operations platform Clari recently raised $225 million in a Series F financing round led by Blackstone, bringing the company's valuation to more than $2.6 billion. Calri says more than 450 companies from around the world use its A.I.-powered platform to make their revenue operations more connected, efficient, and predictable. Clari CEO Andy Byrne joined Cheddar News' Closing Bell to discuss.
Technology company Unity announced it has acquired Ziva Dynamics. Marc Whitten, SVP & GM, Create at Unity, joins Cheddar News' Closing Bell, where he discusses how this move will help his company democratize real-time character creation.
Wellness retreats have grown in popularity as self-care has become a bigger focus during the pandemic. Jamie Costello, Vice President of Sales and Fitness at Pritikin Longevity Center, joined Cheddar to discuss the goals of a retreat program, and how to make health and wellness accessible to more people.
The gambling industry has seen a boom since shutting down in 2020, outpacing even pre-pandemic levels. But as gamblers have returned to the tables, there's been a rise in reports of gambling addiction as well. Sara Slane, founder of Slane Advisory and sports betting/casino gaming executive, joined Cheddar to discuss the state of the gambling industry.
Shares of Peloton recovered after CEO John Foley debunked rumors that the company would halt production of some products, confirming that the company will instead be quote 'right-sizing' production as it faces lagging demand.
This comeback for the stock comes after reports surfaced that Peloton could completely hit the brakes on production of its bikes and treadmills. In the last year, Peloton has wiped nearly $40 billion off its market cap, with its stock down over 70% in 2021. Doug Astrop, managing partner at Exponential Investment Partners, joined Cheddar Movers to discuss.
After an intense hours-long meltdown Monday, stocks closed higher in a last minute, stunning comeback. At one point, the Dow shed over 1,000 points, the tech-heavy Nasdaq was down close to 5% and inching toward correction territory, and the S&P 500 briefly hit a correction earlier in the day. During most of Monday's session, stocks were on track to mark their worst months since March 2020, and for the Nasdaq, since October 2008. Philip Palumbo, Founder, CEO and Chief Investment Officer of Palumbo Wealth Management, joined Cheddar News' Closing Bell to discuss today's stunning market comeback, whether there's more room for stocks to fall, his 2022 market predictions, and more.
Bobby Zagotta, CEO of Bitstamp USA, joins Cheddar News' Closing Bell, where he discusses what he expects to see from Bitcoin and other cryptocurrencies amid a volatile period in the market, and explains how his crypto exchange is helping investors.
Markets started the week on a rocky note: the major indexes at most points during the day were double digits off of their highs, on the path to their worst performances since March 2020 and for the Nasdaq, since October 2008. Investors were skittish about the Federal Reserve's meeting this week, where the central bank is expected to announce more details about its plans to hike interest rates and taper asset purchasing this year. Art Hogan, Chief Market Strategist at National Securities, joined Cheddar News' Closing Bell to discuss today's market meltdown, why investors were feeling pressure, what to expect from the Fed, and more.
