President Trump on Wednesday reversed his position on cutting payroll taxes to spur economic growth, telling reporters on the White House lawn that "we don't need it."
The reversal comes after days of mixed messages from the administration. The White House had first denied that it was considering a cut to payroll taxes since the economy, top officials claimed, was sound. However, on Tuesday, Trump said "payroll tax is something that we think about and a lot of people would like to see that."
In another about-face on Wednesday, Trump announced that he is "not looking at a tax cut now." The remarks follow a growing number of economists who have publicly warned that a recession in the U.S. is on the horizon.
"I don't think [Trump] is particularly concerned if what he says one day disagrees with what his advisors said the day before," said Brian Brenberg, the chair of the Program in Business and Finance at The King's College. "It's classic message testing by the president" to see how the media and markets react.
Recession concerns largely emerged last week after the U.S. Treasury's yield curve inverted; in other words, short-term investments in government bonds are now expected to pay more than long-term ones. The inversion — the first since the economic collapse of 2007-2008 — sent the markets plummeting.
A survey released this week by the National Association for Business Economics also found that 74 percent of U.S. economists believe the country will go into a recession by 2021.
"We don't need [a payroll tax cut]. We have a strong economy," Trump said Wednesday.
Payroll taxes, which apply to both employers and employees, are ubiquitous in the U.S. economy and fund major federal programs like social security and medicare. The taxes were lowered as part of the economic stimulus package following the Great Recession a decade ago, and the cut was extended by President Obama in 2012. Republicans initially opposed the cut at the time, citing concern over the federal deficit.
Yet today, many economists caution against cutting payroll taxes given the country's historically low unemployment, the current strain on social security spending, and the government's growing deficit, which has ballooned under Trump following policies like the 2017 tax cuts.
"Payroll taxes are a significant source of government revenue, and payroll tax cuts have been found to have little to no impact on long-term economic growth," the Tax Foundation said on Twitter.
On Wednesday, moreover, the Congressional Budget Office said that the federal budget deficit is accelerating faster than expected. The agency updated its deficit forecast to $960 billion in 2019 and over $1 trillion in 2020.
Cutting payroll taxes, experts say, will also not address the core concerns of investors: tariffs and trade.
"Most investors are unified in believing the only thing that's really going to meaningfully change the conversation around recession is doing something on trade," Brenberg said, noting that Trump's remarks on Tuesday did little to boost the markets.
Adam Michel, a tax policy analyst at the conservative Heritage Foundation, said that "high tariffs and trade uncertainty" were the main impediments to economic progress. "If the administration wants to boost the economy, they should start there," he said.
AdTheorent just the latest company to go public via a SPAC. The company specializes in digital advertising, using AI and machine learning as a tool to move marketing forward. AdTheorent to close its SPAC merger with MCAP Acquisition today and will trade on the Nasdaq under the ticker symbol ADTH. CEO Jim Lawson spoke with Cheddar ahead of the move.
Although still early in development, blockchain technology, Web3, also known as Web 3.0 has been getting a lot of attention from some top tech names lately. Web3 is based on blockchain technology, which powers NFT’s and cryptocurrencies such as bitcoin. With Web3, users would ideally control their own data, rather than have it be controlled by a few large companies. But, Tesla CEO Elon musk isn't buying into Web3 just yet, tweeting over the weekend that the decentralized iteration of the internet seems more like a marketing "buzzword" right now than reality. Twitter co-founder Jack Dorsey also chiming in to the conversation, expressing doubt over whether or not Web3 would actually be decentralized if ownership still belonged to venture capital firms. Parker McCurley, co-founder & CEO of Decent Labs explains the significance of Web3 catching the eye of the tech giants, and what Web3 could mean for the future of the internet.
The FDA has granted emergency use authorization to Pfizer's pill to treat covid-19. The treatment, called Paxlovid, is the first antiviral covid-19 pill that people can take at home.
Pfizer says the pill can reduce the risk of severe illness by 90 percent and is intended for people at high risk for severe disease, including those over 65, people with obesity, diabetes, or a weakened immune system. Professor Peter Pitts, Founder, Center for Medicine in the Public Interest & Former FDA Associate joined Wake Up with Cheddar to discuss.
On December 20th, the TSA reported that for the fourth day in a row, it had screened more than 2 million people through its airports as the Omicron variant continues to rage and spread rapidly throughout the country. The CDC now reporting that roughly 73% of all covid cases are caused by the Omicron variant ahead of President Biden’s remarks aimed towards curbing the virus and helping hospitals battle rises in hospitalizations. Dr. Nasia Safdar breaks down the latest on traveling during the pandemic.
Ahead of a four day week for the markets due to the upcoming Christmas holiday, investors hoping for a quiet end to the year, or even a Santa Claus rally, may not be in luck. Investors are still digesting the latest from the Fed regarding a quicker than expected taper, as well as ever increasing blow back as the Omicron variant spreads. Octavio Marenzi, CEO of Opimas LLC, explains why the markets have been so volatile ever since the emergence of the latest variant and what to expect going forward into 2022.
Carlo and Baker cover the heartening news on the Covid front ahead of the holiday, plus President Biden punting student loan repayments again, a new space telescope and Love, Hate, Ate: Christmas Eve Eve Edition!
Stocks closed lower Monday as investors continued to price in COVID-19 omicron variant fears. Reopening stocks like airlines, financial companies, restaurants and hotels, and more, dragged on the major indexes as businesses and events took a pause over the weekend amid rising case numbers in metropolitan areas. This comes a week after the Federal Reserve announced it plans to speed up its asset tapering timeline in January and institute three rate hikes next year. Is that plan aging well? Robert Conzo, CEO of The Wealth Alliance, joins Cheddar News' Closing Bell to discuss market movement, how stocks could close out the year, what the Fed could do in 2022, and more.
