From Wall Street to Silicon Valley, these are the top stories that moved markets and had investors, business leaders, and entrepreneurs talking this week on Cheddar.
JOBS BLOCKBUSTER
Investors ended the week digesting a blockbuster jobs report. Nonfarm payrolls in November rose by 266,000, according to the Labor Dept. The consensus estimate was about 180,000. The unemployment rate ticked down to 3.5 percent, and average hourly earnings rose another 0.2 percent. The unusually strong report was helped by GM, where tens of thousands of workers returned to their jobs (thus counting as new payrolls) after spending 40 days on the picket line. Still, hiring remains strong, and unemployment remains near historic lows even despite headwinds like the trade war and poor manufacturing data.
TRADE WAR(S)
In London for a commemoration of NATO's 70th birthday, President Trump indicated that the trade war with China may drag on, at least through the 2020 election. The president said he was willing to wait until then to make a deal with China on tariffs, a reversal from previous comments from White House officials that a deal was within striking distance. Stocks plunged on that news, but then recovered and ended the week sharply higher, lifted by the gangbusters employment number. And yet, the trade jitters remain. In addition to the conflicting statements on China, the Trump administration has proposed a tariff of up to 100 percent on $2.4 billion worth of French imports ー including handbags, cheese, and wine, that could impact American consumers. Meanwhile, the deadline for the next round of tariffs on Chinese goods is still scheduled for Dec. 15.
CYBER MONDAY BONANZA
Fourteen years after the term was coined, Cyber Monday has grown to become one of the most critical shopping events of the year for retailers. And in 2019, it hit a record. According to Adobe Analytics, shoppers spent $9.4 billion online ー the first $9 billion e-commerce day ever, and 19 percent higher than last year's Cyber Monday (and in addition to the $7.4 billion spent online on Black Friday). Total online spend for the season is expected to reach $143 billion, Adobe says, versus $126 billion in 2018. Big-box retailers like Target and Walmart are seeing some of the strongest e-commerce growth, as well as ーof course ー Amazon, which said this Cyber Monday was its biggest shopping day in the company's history.
GOOGLE TURNS THE PAGE
It's an end of an era at Google, where the co-founders who began the search giant in their friend's garage have officially relinquished executive control to Google CEO Sundar Pichai. Larry Page and Sergei Brin, who had stopped running the day-to-day operations years ago, will remain on the Alphabet board, and control a majority of the company's voting shares. They are stepping away from the company they started at a precarious time. Google is in the regulatory crosshairs of several governments over antitrust concerns and how it collects its vast troves of data. Pichai, an Indian immigrant who rose through the ranks of the company, will become CEO of both Alphabet and Google ー making him one of the single most powerful people in Silicon Valley.
UNITED CEO OUT
Brin and Page weren't the only executive departures of the week in a year that has seen a record number of CEO exits. Oscar Munoz, the chief executive of United Airlines, is resigning effective in May. United is promoting his deputy, Scott Kirby, who was rumored to be in the running for the top job at rival American Airlines. Munoz took over United four years ago and will leave the carrier in better shape than he found it, though he is perhaps best known for the company's botched response to an incident in 2017 in which a doctor was dragged screaming off of an overbooked flight.
Following the surprising big beat on estimates for the January jobs report, William M. Rodgers III, vice president and director of the Institute for Economic Equity at the Federal Reserve Bank of St. Louis, joined Cheddar News to break down the data. “We ended 2021 with a strong crescendo to a recovery that had taken hold, and we started 2022 in good fashion." He also discussed the dueling pressures of wage growth and inflation.
Jessica Mason Pieklo, senior vice president and executive editor of the Rewired News Group and co-host of the podcast. "Boom! Lawyered," joins Cheddar Politics to discuss Justice Stephen Breyer's retirement, legacy and potential replacement on the Supreme Court.
The Biden administration delivered a temporary win for student loan borrowers this year by extending the moratorium on federal payments for a few more months. That moratorium is coming to an end on May 1st and borrowers will again have their monthly loan payment plopped in their lap.
Stephanie Vanderslice, a creative writing professor paying off debt through the Parent Plus program, and Mike Pierce, executive director of the Student Borrower Protection Center, join Cheddar Politics to discuss.
2022 was already going to be a big year for the Supreme Court. We have decisions on major issues like abortion and gun rights on the way. Then, Justice Stephen Breyer announced his retirement and that set up a major confirmation fight for later this year. Amy Howe, co-founder of SCOTUSblog, joins Cheddar Politics to discuss.
The Labor Department released a better-than-expected report of 467,000 jobs added in January. Heather Boushey, Council of Economic Advisers Member for President Biden, joined Cheddar to tout the administration's handling of the economy amid the pandemic and the upward revisions for the previous month. "It also shows that, because of the revisions, the economy was stronger over the past couple of months," she said. "I don't think that this can be said enough, but economic forecasting during an historic pandemic is extremely difficult." Boushey also addressed issues involving wage growth versus the rapid rise of inflation.
The Labor Department's January jobs report showed 467,000 jobs were added, compared to the 150,000 that were projected, a sign that employment is continuign to return to pre-pandemic levels. Lindsey Piegza, chief economist at investment bank Stifel, joined Cheddar to break down the report, noting the big gains but adding a note of caution. "Remember, even with this morning's stellar report, we're still millions below that level that we had reached prior to the onset of COVID-19," she said." Yes, we are recapturing jobs. We still have further ground that needs to be made before we can talk about reaching that previous peak." Piegza also discussed the role of the Federal Reserve going forward as the employment figures turn more positive.
As President Biden's poll numbers fall with Black voters, Rep. Ayanna Pressley (D-Mass. 7th District) joined Cheddar to discuss what she feels could help the embattled administration: deliver on policies. Pressley pointed to stalled legislation such as new voting rights laws and Build Back Betters and canceling student loan debt, which would go a long way to improving his standing with Black constituents. "President Biden has the authority and the power to alleviate this burden, which would also help in closing the racial wealth gap, and he can do it by executive action with the stroke of a pen," she said. "And it doesn't require one vote from Congress. So, the Biden administration just needs to deliver to Black America in a tangible and impactful way."
