From Wall Street to Silicon Valley, these are the top stories that moved markets and had investors, business leaders, and entrepreneurs talking this week on Cheddar.
JOBS BLOCKBUSTER
Investors ended the week digesting a blockbuster jobs report. Nonfarm payrolls in November rose by 266,000, according to the Labor Dept. The consensus estimate was about 180,000. The unemployment rate ticked down to 3.5 percent, and average hourly earnings rose another 0.2 percent. The unusually strong report was helped by GM, where tens of thousands of workers returned to their jobs (thus counting as new payrolls) after spending 40 days on the picket line. Still, hiring remains strong, and unemployment remains near historic lows even despite headwinds like the trade war and poor manufacturing data.
TRADE WAR(S)
In London for a commemoration of NATO's 70th birthday, President Trump indicated that the trade war with China may drag on, at least through the 2020 election. The president said he was willing to wait until then to make a deal with China on tariffs, a reversal from previous comments from White House officials that a deal was within striking distance. Stocks plunged on that news, but then recovered and ended the week sharply higher, lifted by the gangbusters employment number. And yet, the trade jitters remain. In addition to the conflicting statements on China, the Trump administration has proposed a tariff of up to 100 percent on $2.4 billion worth of French imports ー including handbags, cheese, and wine, that could impact American consumers. Meanwhile, the deadline for the next round of tariffs on Chinese goods is still scheduled for Dec. 15.
CYBER MONDAY BONANZA
Fourteen years after the term was coined, Cyber Monday has grown to become one of the most critical shopping events of the year for retailers. And in 2019, it hit a record. According to Adobe Analytics, shoppers spent $9.4 billion online ー the first $9 billion e-commerce day ever, and 19 percent higher than last year's Cyber Monday (and in addition to the $7.4 billion spent online on Black Friday). Total online spend for the season is expected to reach $143 billion, Adobe says, versus $126 billion in 2018. Big-box retailers like Target and Walmart are seeing some of the strongest e-commerce growth, as well as ーof course ー Amazon, which said this Cyber Monday was its biggest shopping day in the company's history.
GOOGLE TURNS THE PAGE
It's an end of an era at Google, where the co-founders who began the search giant in their friend's garage have officially relinquished executive control to Google CEO Sundar Pichai. Larry Page and Sergei Brin, who had stopped running the day-to-day operations years ago, will remain on the Alphabet board, and control a majority of the company's voting shares. They are stepping away from the company they started at a precarious time. Google is in the regulatory crosshairs of several governments over antitrust concerns and how it collects its vast troves of data. Pichai, an Indian immigrant who rose through the ranks of the company, will become CEO of both Alphabet and Google ー making him one of the single most powerful people in Silicon Valley.
UNITED CEO OUT
Brin and Page weren't the only executive departures of the week in a year that has seen a record number of CEO exits. Oscar Munoz, the chief executive of United Airlines, is resigning effective in May. United is promoting his deputy, Scott Kirby, who was rumored to be in the running for the top job at rival American Airlines. Munoz took over United four years ago and will leave the carrier in better shape than he found it, though he is perhaps best known for the company's botched response to an incident in 2017 in which a doctor was dragged screaming off of an overbooked flight.
Inflation remains hot as the January PPI has increased by 1 percent, twice what analysts had been expecting with a jump of 9.7 over the year. Beth Ann Bovino, the U.S. chief economist, for S&P Global Ratings, joined Cheddar News to discuss the rapid pace of inflation alongside higher wages, predicting the Federal Reserve will act quickly and forcefully this year. "They haven't changed their forecast, yet, that's gonna come out soon. But we expect that a March rate hike is basically pretty much baked in the cake," she said. "We think six rate hikes in total for 2022."
For black history month, Cheddar is highlighting black business leaders who are driving the need for representation forward. On February 10, the U.S. Chamber of Commerce hosted an event called 'Developing the Black-Owned Business Ecosystem.' The virtual event was organized under the lobbying group's two initiatives -- the Equality of Opportunity Initiative, and the Coalition to Back Black Businesses. The event highlighted the developments needed to develop more black-owned businesses in the U.S. Dr. Anthony Wilbon, Dean of the School of Business at Howard University, joined Cheddar News' Closing Bell to discuss his experience as a speaker at the event.
A newly declassified letter by senators Ron Wyden and Martin Heinrich claimed the CIA. has been conducting a Secret Surveillance Program which has been collecting a bulk of data from American citizens. The letter which was written in April of 2021 urges the CIA to come clean about the kind of data it collects and how many Americans have been impacted. According to these two senators, the program did not have the safeguards of congressional oversight.
Art Hogan, Chief Market Strategist at National Securities, joined Cheddar News' Closing Bell, where he says investors are taking a wait-and-see approach when it comes to the situation between Russia and the Ukraine and elaborates on the impact higher oil prices stemming from the conflict would have on the market.
Last week, Senators Ron Wyden of Oregon and Martin Heinrich of New Mexico, Democrats on the Senate Intelligence Committee, wrote a a letter airing concerns that the CIA is collecting the data of American citizens without their consent. The lawmakers fear that the program might be exploiting private data. Morgan Wright, the chief security advisor at cybersecurity firm SentinelOne, joined Cheddar News to discuss the ramifications of the letter. "We don't have all the dots in one place to connect them," said Wright, cautioning against jumping to conclusions.
Russian President Vladimir Putin and his Foreign Minister Sergey Lavrov said that diplomacy is still possible, while U.S. officials warn that an attack on Ukraine is imminent. Cheddar News speaks with James Astill, Washington bureau chief of The Economist on the latest developments in Eastern Europe.
As the number of Russian troops rose to 130,000 along its Ukrainian border, hopes for a diplomatic solution remain among world leaders. Jason McMann, head of geopolitical risk analysis at Morning Consult, joined Cheddar News to break down the fluid situation. "We saw signs pointing towards an increase in tensions between Ukraine and Russia, whereas today we're seeing some signs that the Russian government may be willing to continue down a path of diplomatic negotiations to try and find some sort of non-military solution," he said.
Nancy Pelosi and House Democratic leaders are now planning to amend the stop trading on congressional knowledge act, otherwise known as the 'Stock' Act. This 2012 law governs how members disclose the purchase or sale of stocks and amending it would close a loophole, eliminating the trading of individual stocks by members of congress. Pelosi has consistently opposed a ban on stock trading by lawmakers and congressional staff...so what's changed? Kedric Payne, Vice President of Campaign Legal Center, joins Cheddar News to discuss.
In a 5-4 vote, the U.S. Supreme Court allowed for a controversial new version of the Alabama congressional map to remain in place. The lower court had previously ordered that the state must redraw that congressional map because it violates the Voting Rights Act by diluting the political power of Black voters. Redistricting expert Yurij Rudensky joins Cheddar News to weigh in.
