Stocks slipped again Thursday as investors braced for more interest rate hikes from the Federal Reserve, and the volatility is once again stirring up debates over whether the U.S. economy is headed for a recession.
"Our view right now is that for the next six months the U.S. economy should be okay," said Ahmed Riesgo, chief investment officer for financial services company Insigneo.
He said the strength of the January jobs report has put downward pressure on stocks because it showed resilience in the economy that many investors interpreted as a sign that more rate hikes were coming. Recent reports showing "sticky" inflation have had a similar effect.
These trends increase the odds of a recession, he added, because the uncertainty around inflation makes it more likely the Fed will make a policy mistake.
"Our base case is not a recession," he said. "But when you look a little bit further out over a 12 month period, I think the chances of a mild recession in the United States are very elevated."
He also cited recent comments from Fed officials as evidence for this theory. The nation's top bankers have signaled they are committed to bringing inflation down to 2 percent annually, while also saying hitting that goal effectively requires inducing a recession.
Andela is revolutionizing global work for a sustainable future. Their impact includes diverse skills, income growth, & successful hiring in untapped locations.
With Gamestop and other meme stocks back on the rise, it brings to mind some similarities between 2021 and 2024 economically… and that’s not necessarily good.
After 10 years as a men's wear brand, the popular athleisure brand recently launched its women's line, redefining standards and championing inclusivity.
According to the 2024 Acorns Money Matters Report, nearly a quarter of Americans are worried they could become homeless – and don’t know how easy it is to save.
Even with inflation slightly higher than the Federal Reserve's 2% goal, still expect the central bank to cut rates three times this year, Cetera's CIO says.
