Stocks slipped again Thursday as investors braced for more interest rate hikes from the Federal Reserve, and the volatility is once again stirring up debates over whether the U.S. economy is headed for a recession.
"Our view right now is that for the next six months the U.S. economy should be okay," said Ahmed Riesgo, chief investment officer for financial services company Insigneo.
He said the strength of the January jobs report has put downward pressure on stocks because it showed resilience in the economy that many investors interpreted as a sign that more rate hikes were coming. Recent reports showing "sticky" inflation have had a similar effect.
These trends increase the odds of a recession, he added, because the uncertainty around inflation makes it more likely the Fed will make a policy mistake.
"Our base case is not a recession," he said. "But when you look a little bit further out over a 12 month period, I think the chances of a mild recession in the United States are very elevated."
He also cited recent comments from Fed officials as evidence for this theory. The nation's top bankers have signaled they are committed to bringing inflation down to 2 percent annually, while also saying hitting that goal effectively requires inducing a recession.
Mortgage delinquencies rose to nearly 4% in the fourth quarter last year, according to the Mortgage Bankers Association. Howard Dvorkin, certified financial planner and chairman of Debt.com, joined Cheddar News to provide tips on what to do if you can't make mortgage payments.
Dory Wiley, president and CEO of Commerce Street Holdings, joined Cheddar News to discuss Tuesday's trading as big tech is set to report earnings. This also followed First Republic Bank posting its latest results that prompted its stock to plummet after it said deposits fell.
Colorado is set to become the first state to sign a ‘right to repair’ law allowing farmers to fix their own equipment with a bill signing Tuesday afternoon by Democratic Gov. Jared Polis.
Cheddar News' Courtney Sturgeon reports live from the options trading floor to break down the busy earnings week ahead for big tech, and the launch of Cboe's 1-Day Volatility Index (VIX1D).
