Stocks slipped again Thursday as investors braced for more interest rate hikes from the Federal Reserve, and the volatility is once again stirring up debates over whether the U.S. economy is headed for a recession.
"Our view right now is that for the next six months the U.S. economy should be okay," said Ahmed Riesgo, chief investment officer for financial services company Insigneo.
He said the strength of the January jobs report has put downward pressure on stocks because it showed resilience in the economy that many investors interpreted as a sign that more rate hikes were coming. Recent reports showing "sticky" inflation have had a similar effect.
These trends increase the odds of a recession, he added, because the uncertainty around inflation makes it more likely the Fed will make a policy mistake.
"Our base case is not a recession," he said. "But when you look a little bit further out over a 12 month period, I think the chances of a mild recession in the United States are very elevated."
He also cited recent comments from Fed officials as evidence for this theory. The nation's top bankers have signaled they are committed to bringing inflation down to 2 percent annually, while also saying hitting that goal effectively requires inducing a recession.
Lab-created diamonds come with sparkling claims: that they are ethically made by machines running on renewable energy. But many don't live up to these claims or don't respond to questions about their electricity sources, and lab diamonds require a lot of electricity.
Geoff Freeman, president and CEO of the U.S. Travel association, explains why other nations are outcompeting the U.S., and the innovations that would put American back on top.
Tony Drake, founder of Drake & Associates, breaks down the latest CPI report, why ‘inflation is still trending down,’ and why the Fed doesn’t want to cut rates too soon.
Make sure your love don't cost a thing this Valentine's Day to any scammers. Note: we're not talking about your partner that didn't do the dishes after saying they would.
Landing founder and CEO Bill Smith shares how the company’s new Nomad pass and partnership with Frontier Airlines allows subscribers unlimited airfare and accommodations.
The pandemic yielded government financial support and (eventually) a surprisingly strong job market — but racial wealth disparities grew. Why is it so difficult to close the wealth gap?
Plenty of retailers and suppliers are reducing the variety of their offerings to focus instead on what they think will sell best. Many businesses have decided less is better, justifying their limited selection by asserting shoppers don’t want so much choice.
