As U.S. Readies Chinese Import Tax, Worries of Economic Impact Loom Large
*By Alisha Haridasani*
The first round of tariffs for American and Chinese goods goes into effect on Friday, officially plunging the two countries into a trade war that could end up undermining the U.S. economy.
The Trump administration is poised to impose taxes on $50 billion of Chinese imports in high-tech industries, such as robotics, aerospace, and industrial machinery, in an attempt to punish Beijing for intellectual property theft and to rebalance a trade deficit. The first phase of that will affect $34 billion worth of goods.
"The United States will be opening fire on the whole world and also opening fire on itself," said China's Commerce Ministry spokesperson on Thursday, reiterating that Beijing will fight back.
China has promised to immediately hit back with tariffs of “equal scale, equal intensity” on American soybeans, corn, wheat, rice, beef, and poultry.
President Trump announced the tariffs in June and since then the U.S. and China have been locked in a series of threats and negotiations that have rattled markets.
The back-and-forth has already forced companies to rethink their strategies. Chinese companies have started turning away from U.S. soybean suppliers and looking to other sources for agricultural products.
“Farmers in America’s heartland are already feeling the pain,” said Sara Hsu, economist and associate professor at SUNY-New Paltz. “Consumers can expect to feel the pain in the coming months.”
And enduring the pinch isn't going to pay off. Protectionism has historically proven to be destructive for the global economy and won’t achieve what the Trump administration is trying to accomplish, said Hsu.
The tariffs will hurt the American high-tech companies that Trump is trying to protect from intellectual property theft as it becomes increasingly difficult for those companies to do business in China, she said.
“Also, in terms of reducing the U.S.-China deficit, this is a point that I think the administration misunderstands,” she said. “A deficit is actually a good thing for the U.S. because we’re the world’s biggest economic power, and other countries are willing to hold our debt,” said Hsu. Reducing the deficit would signal that the global economy shouldn’t be investing in U.S. debt.
“We’re going to reduce our own power, it’s going to backfire on us.”
The trade spat with China is part of the president’s broader plan to renegotiate American trade deals with other countries. The U.S. has already levied tariffs on steel and aluminum imports from Canada, Mexico, and the EU, angering those allies and prompting them to retaliate.
Shots fired on that front have already claimed one American victim: Harley-Davidson. The motorcycle company announced last month it would move production out of the U.S. to get around the EU’s retaliatory tariffs.
For full interview, [click here](https://cheddar.com/videos/china-warns-u-s-on-trade).
Americans continue to feel the pain at the pump as a result of Russia’s invasion of Ukraine. Patrick DeHaan, head of petroleum analysis at GasBuddy, joined Cheddar News to discuss how prices are being affected by the war and how much worse it could potentially get for drivers. "It's obviously a fluid situation. In one field today, I might feel differently in a half hour. But for now, I think we could see the national average realistically go somewhere into the mid $4 range, maybe $4.40 to $4.65 based on what we're seeing," he said.
Russia’s invasion of Ukraine has entered its 12th day following what Ukrainian authorities described as increased shelling of encircled cities and another failed attempt to evacuate civilians from the port city of Mariupol.
Gasoline prices are pushing even farther above $4 a gallon, the highest price that American motorists have faced since July 2008, as calls grow to ban imports of Russian oil.
Jay Hatfield, Chief Investment Officer at ICAP, believes a lot of the bad news regarding the fighting in Ukraine and Fed is already priced into the market and looming uncertainty factored into Friday's movement. However, he also believes the upcoming Fed decision will be good news for Wall Street.
News of Russian forces taking control of a Ukrainian after artillery bombardment of a nuclear power plant raised concerns this week. Nuclear policy expert and Quincy Institute Distinguished Fellow Joe Cirincione joined Cheddar News to discuss the implications for a potential disaster. “I’m with the director general of the IAEA, the International Atomic Energy Agency. He says that he is extremely concerned, and that this Russian attack is a severe risk and that Russia clearly violated the fundamental principle of preserving the integrity of nuclear power plants," Cirincione said.
Amid Russia's attack on Ukraine, major businesses from BP to Big Tech like Apple have been pausing their business dealings with the invading nation. Brian Walker, chief strategy officer at commerce software company Bloomreach, joined Cheddar News to discuss how some companies are showing support for Ukraine and what this could mean for consumers. "Whether it be impacts on energy or operational costs, shipping and logistics, or frankly impacts on the financial services industry, these will have long term implications on retail prices," he said.
About 678,000 jobs were created in February, hundreds of thousands more than predicted, according to the latest Labor Department report, showing a broad economic recovery despite inflation woes. Heather Boushey, member of the Council of Economic Advisers for President Biden, joined Cheddar News to talk about the employment figures. "This really shows that the economy is now more resilient because of the tools that we have in place," Boushey said. "So I'm optimistic that we'll be able to weather future storms."
Ramit Varma, Independent candidate for Mayor of Los Angeles, joins Cheddar News to discuss the race and how he plans to tackle critical issues in the California city.
