This May 22, 2020 photo shows the Federal Reserve building in Washington. (AP Photo/Patrick Semansky)
By Martin Crutsinger
he Federal Reserve is promising to use its “full range of tools” to pull the country out of a recession brought on by a global pandemic, signaling that it would keep interest rates low through 2022.
In its semi-annual monetary policy report to Congress, the central bank said Friday that the COVID-19 outbreak was causing “tremendous human and economic hardship across the United States and around the world.”
In response, the Fed said it's “committed to using its full range of tools to support the U.S. economy in this challenging time."
The Fed’s report comes two days after a policy meeting where the central bank kept it benchmark interest rate at a record low of zero to 0.25% and signaled that it planned to keep it there through 2022. The Fed said it would continue to buy billions of dollars of Treasury and mortgage-backed securities to support the financial market.
Federal Reserve Chairman Jerome Powell will testify before congressional committees for two days next week, starting Tuesday, on the new report. Lawmakers are expected to ask Powell to explain how the central bank plans to further support the economy during what is expected to be the steepest economic downturn in the last 70 years.
Powell predicted this week that the recovery will likely be slow with Americans “well into the millions” unable to get their old jobs back.
Powell’s downbeat assessment of how long it could take labor market to recover along with other renewed fears about the pandemic’s impact on the economy helped trigger a huge selloff in the market on Thursday with the Dow Jones industrial average falling 1,861.82 points or 6.9%.
After the market plunge, President Donald Trump sent out a tweet criticizing the Fed's views that a full economic recovery could take a long time.
“The Federal Reserve is wrong so often,” Trump tweeted. “I see the numbers also, and do MUCH better than they do. We will have a very good Third Quarter, a great Fourth Quarter, and one of our best ever years in 2021.”
The report submitted to Congress this week included economic projections from Powell and other top Fed officials. They showed that Fed officials expect a steep drop in economic growth of 6.4% this year with unemployment remaining at a sharply elevated 9.3% through this year.
A recently as February, unemployment was at a half-century low of 3.5%,
The economic projections showed that the Fed's key interest rate, which the central bank cut in March to a record low near zero, is expected to remain at that level through the end of 2022 with only two of the 15 Fed officials expecting a rate higher than zero by late 2022.
The Fed did not announce any new policy initiatives at its meeting this week, but financial analysts believe that those could be unveiled later this year, depending on how the economy performs in the second half.
The Fed noted a sharp deterioration in the labor market with nearly 20 million jobs lost since February, “reversing almost 10 years of job gains.”
“The most severe job losses have been sustained by the socioeconomic groups that are disproportionately represented among low-wage jobs,” according to the report.
The Fed on Friday also summarized a series of events that it has been holding since last year aimed at getting public input into improvements the central bank can make in its monetary policy work. That included an event in May in which it sought to determine how the coronavirus was impacting people's lives.
“People have put their lives and livelihoods on hold during this public health emergency,” Powell wrote in an introductory note. “While all of us have been affected, the burdens are falling most heavily on those least able to carry them.”
The Fed, Powell said, remains focused on laying the foundation for a return to the strong labor market the country was experiencing last year.
Ariel Wolf, general counsel for the Self-Driving Coalition, an industry group promoting autonomous vehicles, joined Cheddar to discuss the ongoing supply chain woes partially attributed to a lack of truck drivers. "Autonomous vehicle technology has the ability to partner with that ecosystem and help alleviate this immediate problem we have and solve the problem going forward," Wolf said. As for safety, Wolf sees a future where self-driving trucks could potentially be safer than human drivers.
Rishi Bharwani, the director of partnerships and policy for nonprofit Accountable Tech, joined Cheddar to discuss the hot button topic of regulatory oversight of social media giant Facebook. Bharwani discussed the bipartisan pieces of legislation already making their way through Congress and said the body should pass stronger data privacy laws, ban surveillance advertising, and require meaningful accountability and transparency from the company. "Now I think we've reached a boiling point where congressional action is needed and inaction is no longer acceptable," he said. Bharwani also called for a concurrent investigation into Mark Zuckerberg's company.
The United Nations COP26 climate talks are scheduled for October 31 to November 12 in Glasgow, Scotland. Heads of state will be joined by private sector leaders to once again discuss the shrinking window of time left to take action against global temperature rise. Barbara Humpton, CEO of focused technology company Siemens U.S., is also attending and spoke to Cheddar about what she hopes to see during the conference for both the public and private spheres. "What we are really urging is that there are large commitments made in Glasgow and that we really commit to this next decade of action," she said.
Hertz, the car rental giant, has placed an order for 100,000 Tesla Model 3s and sent Tesla's value soaring, pushing it into the $1 trillion club during the trading day Monday. Dan Ives, managing director of equity research for Wedbush, told Cheddar's 'Closing Bell', "It shows [electric vehicles] going to the mainstream." The move gives Hertz a leg up by differentiating itself from competitors and shows Tesla's dominance in the marketplace, He noted. And as for that trillion-dollar valuation? Ives said he could see it rising even higher down the road.
Jonathan Friedland, co-founder of Locale, joins Cheddar News to talk about how the company enables customers to order from dozens of business even if they live hours away.
As we gear into the holiday season, several industries have expressed how the ongoing supply chain shortage continues to impact their business. According to one winery out in California, many wineries are having a difficult time moving their products all because of shipping and labor shortage issues. Senior Retail Reporter at the Insider Aine Cain, joined Cheddar to discuss more and how this issue may not be going away anytime soon.
The gaming industry is about to take center stage as the next dominant technology platform, according to a new report from the consulting firm Activate. The pandemic has accelerated gaming's popularity, with overall time spent gaming increasing by 29 percent. Michael J. Wolf, co-founder and CEO of Activate, joined Cheddar to discuss some of the key findings of the report and why he thinks video game platforms are the only ones that stand a chance of building the so-called metaverse.
Voyager, Nanoracks, and Lockheed Martin are all teaming up to develop the first-ever free-flying commercial space station with room for a crew of four astronauts. The private companies are joining forces as part of NASA’s greater mission to retire the International Space Station by the year 2030. The low-earth orbit space station will be called "Starlab," and is planned to achieve operational capability by 2027. Lisa Callahan, Vice President and General Manager of Commercial Civil Space at Lockheed Martin, and Matthew J. Kuta, President and Chief Operating Officer of Voyager Space, joined Cheddar’s Opening Bell.
