A worrisome bout of inflation struck the economy in April, with U.S. consumer prices for goods and services surging 0.8%, the largest monthly jump in more than a decade, and the year-over-year increase reaching its fastest rate since 2008.
The acceleration in prices, which has been building for months, has unsettled financial markets and raised concerns that it could weaken the economic recovery from the pandemic recession.
Wednesday's report from the Labor Department showed sharply higher prices for everything from food and clothes to housing. A 10% surge in the prices of used cars and trucks — a record jump — accounted for roughly one-third of last month's increases. Prices for vehicles, both used and new, have been soaring as a result of a computer chip shortage that has slowed auto production and reduced dealer supplies.
Over the past 12 months, consumer prices have jumped 4.2% — the fastest rise since a 4.9% gain in the 12 months that ended in September 2008. Excluding volatile food and energy, core inflation rose 0.9% in April and 3% over the past 12 months.
After years of dormant inflation, with the Federal Reserve struggling to increase it, worries about rising prices have shot to the top of economic concerns. Shortages of goods and parts related to disrupted supply chains have been a key factor.
The Fed, led by Chair Jerome Powell, has repeatedly expressed its belief that inflation will prove temporary as supply bottlenecks are unclogged and parts and goods flow normally again. But some economists have expressed concern that as the economic recovery accelerates, fueled by rising demand from consumers spending freely again, so will inflation.
“It looks like inflation pressures are not only building but are likely to be here at least through the rest of the year,” said Joel Naroff, chief economist at Naroff Economic Advisors. “With growth robust, firms have a measure of pricing power tat they haven't had in decades, and they appear to be using it.”
Investors, too, have grown increasingly jittery. On Tuesday, the Dow Jones Industrial Average sank more than 470 points — 1.4% — its worst day since Feb. 26.
Wednesday's inflation report showed that food prices rose 0.4%, the biggest such increase since a 0.5% rise last June. Energy costs, though, edged down 0.1%, with gasoline pump prices falling 1.4%, the biggest drop since May 2020.
Last month, Powell suggested at a news conference that Fed officials expect inflation to move above its 2% annual target over the next few months. The Fed has said it will allow prices to rise slightly above 2% for a period of time to make up for the past decade's shortfalls in inflation.
Powell has said that as long as the increase in inflation doesn't appear to be hurting consumer and business expectations about price increases, the central bank would be willing to let prices rise without acting to raise interest rates. That view has been supported by comments from other Fed officials including Lael Brainard, a board member who warned Tuesday against a premature Fed tightening that could harm the economy.
The White House is earmarking $2.1 billion to help secure the nation's food supply, amid widespread shortages due to the pandemic, Russia's war in Ukraine, and rising inflation. The Biden administration's plans are expected to shore up food infrastructure and distribution while also aiding farmers. Bread for the World Senior International Policy Advisor Abiola Afolayan joined Cheddar News' Closing Bell to discuss.
Concerns about economic growth are weighing down sentiment on Wall Street, as investors also monitor the uncertain impact of the Federal Reserve's quantitative tightening - the process of reducing its $9 trillion balance sheet it built up over the course of the pandemic. The Fed's QT is meant to normalize monetary policy while bringing down inflation, something the White House calls a 'top economic priority.' As Americans cope with higher prices for everyday essentials, Treasury Secretary Janet Yellen admitted that she was wrong about inflation being 'transitory,' as extenuating factors have caused inflation from the pandemic to worsen. JPMorgan CEO Jamie Dimon also weighed in on inflation and the state of the economy, warning investors to brace for a so-called economic 'hurricane' due to impacts from inflation and Russia's war in Ukraine. The still-tight job market is putting pressure on the economy as well, as the latest JOLTS report shows job openings in the U.S. are down from record highs but remain high.
President Biden and Federal Reserve chair Jerome Powell meet at the White House today for the first time since Powell's renomination to the position. The President and the Fed Chair discussed the economy and historically high inflation, as new data shows inflation may be cooling slightly. Morning Consult economic analyst Jesse Wheeler joins Cheddar News' Closing Bell to discuss how the Biden administration at the U.S. central bank can work together to combat soaring prices for American consumers.
Gene Goldman, Chief Investment Officer at Cetera, joins Cheddar News' Closing Bell, where he breaks down the reasons behind Thursday's bounce-back performance on Wall Street. Goldman also provides a dose of investing advice, highlighting the sectors he's favoring right now.
David Scranton, CEO and Founder of Sound Income Strategies, joins Cheddar News' Closing Bell, where he provides his insight into why markets ended Wednesday's session lower and hones in on what he's looking for when it comes to the Fed combating inflation.
ADP's Chief Economist Nela Richardson joins Cheddar News' Closing Bell for a look at the job market in the United States. She breaks down the numbers behind her firm's latest findings and says her biggest concern lies in the continuing loss of jobs at small businesses, which shed 91,000 jobs during the month of May.
Tech-enabled residential hospitality company Mint House recently raised $35 million in a Series B round led by Mohari Hospitality. Mint House was described by one of its backers as 'the best of a hotel without the worst of a hotel, and the best of an Airbnb without the worst of an Airbnb.' Mint House offers apartment-style lodging across the country. The company claims its spaces combine the comfort of a home with the luxury of a hotel in order to give guests all of the perks and none of the tradeoffs. Will Lucas, Founder and CEO of Mint House, joins Cheddar News' Closing Bell to discuss.
As the broader tech sector faces continued headwinds, Microsoft in particular is slashing its fourth quarter outlook for another reason: the strength of the dollar. Why is it that a strong dollar is negatively impacting tech giants? And what should investors keep in mind? Tim Lesko, director and senior wealth advisor at Mariner Wealth Advisors, joins Closing Bell to discuss.
