As the nation gears up for Election Day, there is looming concern over the growing federal deficit, which currently sits just over $3 trillion, mainly as a result of COVID-19 sweeping the country. But as it stands, whichever presidential candidate is declared winner, big government spending is likely to continue as the economy looks to climb its way out of the hole.
This year alone, the federal government has tabbed up nearly $4.9 trillion in spending and is on track to hit $6.6 trillion.
Trump vs. Biden Spending Plans
For President Donald Trump, a win in the election would likely mean a continuation of record spending under his administration. In the first two years of his term, Trump widened the federal deficit to 4.3 percent, largely due, in part, to tax cuts. Now, with coronavirus cases spiking nationwide and concerns over the second wave crashing on the U.S., the president has publicly pushed for an additional round of stimulus that would pump $1.8 trillion into the economy which would include another round of one-time payments of $1,200.
Biden, meanwhile, has outlined a plan that calls for $5 trillion in government spending over the next 10 years, making it the most expensive budget plan in recent history. In fact, the plan is more than twice the size of Hillary Clinton’s 2016 proposal.
While the deficit would balloon, the plan would provide local and state governments with more than $700 billion to boost job growth. The former VP also looks to pour funds into housing, clean energy, education, and tech.
What Does Big Government Spending Mean For You?
While the nation’s deficit reaches landmark levels, Americans might not feel the impact just yet. However, if the government is unable to pay its debt, the value of the American dollar could drop significantly, essentially triggering inflation. Everyday shopping necessities like gas and groceries could see a jump in prices.
If a vaccine to combat COVID-19 becomes widely-distributed, big government spending would likely reverse from its current rate since much of it is linked to aiding struggling industries amid the pandemic.
Inflation remains hot as the January PPI has increased by 1 percent, twice what analysts had been expecting with a jump of 9.7 over the year. Beth Ann Bovino, the U.S. chief economist, for S&P Global Ratings, joined Cheddar News to discuss the rapid pace of inflation alongside higher wages, predicting the Federal Reserve will act quickly and forcefully this year. "They haven't changed their forecast, yet, that's gonna come out soon. But we expect that a March rate hike is basically pretty much baked in the cake," she said. "We think six rate hikes in total for 2022."
For black history month, Cheddar is highlighting black business leaders who are driving the need for representation forward. On February 10, the U.S. Chamber of Commerce hosted an event called 'Developing the Black-Owned Business Ecosystem.' The virtual event was organized under the lobbying group's two initiatives -- the Equality of Opportunity Initiative, and the Coalition to Back Black Businesses. The event highlighted the developments needed to develop more black-owned businesses in the U.S. Dr. Anthony Wilbon, Dean of the School of Business at Howard University, joined Cheddar News' Closing Bell to discuss his experience as a speaker at the event.
A newly declassified letter by senators Ron Wyden and Martin Heinrich claimed the CIA. has been conducting a Secret Surveillance Program which has been collecting a bulk of data from American citizens. The letter which was written in April of 2021 urges the CIA to come clean about the kind of data it collects and how many Americans have been impacted. According to these two senators, the program did not have the safeguards of congressional oversight.
Art Hogan, Chief Market Strategist at National Securities, joined Cheddar News' Closing Bell, where he says investors are taking a wait-and-see approach when it comes to the situation between Russia and the Ukraine and elaborates on the impact higher oil prices stemming from the conflict would have on the market.
Last week, Senators Ron Wyden of Oregon and Martin Heinrich of New Mexico, Democrats on the Senate Intelligence Committee, wrote a a letter airing concerns that the CIA is collecting the data of American citizens without their consent. The lawmakers fear that the program might be exploiting private data. Morgan Wright, the chief security advisor at cybersecurity firm SentinelOne, joined Cheddar News to discuss the ramifications of the letter. "We don't have all the dots in one place to connect them," said Wright, cautioning against jumping to conclusions.
Russian President Vladimir Putin and his Foreign Minister Sergey Lavrov said that diplomacy is still possible, while U.S. officials warn that an attack on Ukraine is imminent. Cheddar News speaks with James Astill, Washington bureau chief of The Economist on the latest developments in Eastern Europe.
As the number of Russian troops rose to 130,000 along its Ukrainian border, hopes for a diplomatic solution remain among world leaders. Jason McMann, head of geopolitical risk analysis at Morning Consult, joined Cheddar News to break down the fluid situation. "We saw signs pointing towards an increase in tensions between Ukraine and Russia, whereas today we're seeing some signs that the Russian government may be willing to continue down a path of diplomatic negotiations to try and find some sort of non-military solution," he said.
Nancy Pelosi and House Democratic leaders are now planning to amend the stop trading on congressional knowledge act, otherwise known as the 'Stock' Act. This 2012 law governs how members disclose the purchase or sale of stocks and amending it would close a loophole, eliminating the trading of individual stocks by members of congress. Pelosi has consistently opposed a ban on stock trading by lawmakers and congressional staff...so what's changed? Kedric Payne, Vice President of Campaign Legal Center, joins Cheddar News to discuss.
In a 5-4 vote, the U.S. Supreme Court allowed for a controversial new version of the Alabama congressional map to remain in place. The lower court had previously ordered that the state must redraw that congressional map because it violates the Voting Rights Act by diluting the political power of Black voters. Redistricting expert Yurij Rudensky joins Cheddar News to weigh in.
