In its latest energy outlook, British energy giant BP predicts that fossil fuels as a primary energy source will decline from 80 percent in 2019 to between 55 and 20 percent in 2050, with renewables rising from 10 percent to between 35 and 65 percent. 

The forecast comes as BP adjusts its expectations around the green energy transition, due to the new uncertainties brought on by the war in Ukraine. 

"Global energy policies and discussions in recent years have been focused on the importance of decarbonizing the energy system and the transition to net zero," wrote BP Chief Economist Spencer Dale in a note. "The events of the past year have served as a reminder to us all that this transition also needs to take account of the security and affordability of energy."

As the report explained, energy security and affordability are competing with sustainability for countries' attention and investment dollars. BP calls this an "energy trilemma." 

"Any successful and enduring energy transition needs to address all three elements of the trilemma," Dale wrote. 

Yet the war in Ukraine isn't the only development changing BP's outlook. Another is the passing of the Inflation Reduction Act in the U.S., which is set to invest billions into green projects. 

The most positive scenarios, in terms of the climate, that BP outlines anticipate four trends:

In all possible cases, the report forecasts that renewables will be adopted  “quicker than any previous fuel in history."

Share:
More In Science
Beyond Meat Expands McDonald's Deal As Fast Food Reign Continues
Plant-based meat giant Beyond Meat's reign over the fast food world continues, as McDonald's announced that it is expanding its test of Beyond's McPlant burger, to nearly 600 restaurants, an increase from the eight that it's been testing in since November. This comes less than two weeks after Beyond Fried Chicken made its nationwide debut at KFC restaurants, the first time that plant based chicken has been widely distributed in a fast food capacity. Arun Sundaram, Senior Equity Analyst at CFRA Research explains why these latest collaborations may be proof that Beyond Meat products could slowly be becoming an unlikely staple in the fast food and chain restaurant world as consumers opt for more healthy food options.
BD Veritor Hopes to Take 'Guesswork' Out With Smartphone-Enabled COVID Test
BD Veritor is a variation of the at-home COVID test that uses a smartphone to interpret the results. The test is taken via a nose swab test strip that is then scanned by your phone’s camera with the result clearly displayed as positive or negative. James Walker, vice president of integrated diagnostics USA for BD, joined Cheddar to discuss how the test hopefully takes the "guesswork out of testing." Walker also went into what BD is doing to deal with the surging demand for at-home tests amid the omicron spread. "While we don't disclose how much we produce, we have capacity to manufacture up to 12 million rapid antigen tests per month and are delivering on our commitments to distributors and retailers," he said.
Robotics for Eyelash Extensions; Innovation in Food Tech
On this episode of Cheddar Innovates: Sidechef CEO breaks down how it's building a platform to make recipe shopping easy; Luum CEO explains the process of having a robot put on eyelash extensions; A look at Curiosity Stream's new original series, 'Evolve.'
Moderna's Chief Medical Officer on Omicron Booster Trial, Annual Shots
Moderna launched a clinical trial of a COVID-19 booster shot specifically targeting the omicron variant. The first participant has already received a dose, and Moderna expects to enroll about 600 adults total, split between two groups. In the first group, participants will have previously received two doses of the Moderna vaccine, and in the second, participants will have received its booster. Dr. Paul Burton, chief medical officer at Moderna, joined Cheddar’s Opening Bell to discuss the trial, yearly boosters, and what lies ahead for the company.
Beijing Pledges to Host 'Low Carbon' Olympic Games
With the 2022 Beijing Winter Olympics right around the corner, experts are warning that climate change is threatening not only the event but also the future of snow sports. Despite being the world's top polluter, China is hoping to use the event to demonstrate the country's commitment to fighting climate change, and pledging to host a "low carbon" games. Xubin Zeng, professor of hydrology and atmospheric sciences at the University of Arizona, joins Cheddar News.
Study Finds Payments for Low-Income Mothers May Impact Infants' Brains
New research is suggesting that giving extra cash to low-income mothers can actually influence the brain development of their infants. These findings provide the first rigorous evidence of how payments and monetary support can affect children in the early years of life. Authors of the study, Nathan Fox, professor in the department of human development at the University of Maryland, and Sonya Troller-Renfree, postdoctoral research associate at Teachers College at Columbia University, join Cheddar News to discuss.
Load More